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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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MERTHYR TOWN
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Merthyr Town's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Merthyr Town sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1921 | Saturday, September 3, 1921 | 3670.00 |
| 1912 | Saturday, October 19, 1912 | 3664.64 |
| 1922 | Saturday, February 11, 1922 | 3658.08 |
| 1913 | Saturday, September 27, 1913 | 3650.12 |
| 1920 | Saturday, December 25, 1920 | 3635.13 |
| 1924 | Saturday, March 8, 1924 | 3617.61 |
| 1923 | Saturday, January 6, 1923 | 3610.51 |
| 1926 | Saturday, November 6, 1926 | 3594.89 |
| 1919 | Saturday, October 4, 1919 | 3594.17 |
| 1914 | Saturday, January 3, 1914 | 3582.77 |
| 1927 | Saturday, October 15, 1927 | 3582.49 |
| 1925 | Saturday, January 3, 1925 | 3556.53 |
| 1928 | Saturday, February 18, 1928 | 3520.04 |
| 1929 | Monday, September 2, 1929 | 3498.00 |
| 1992 | Tuesday, September 8, 1992 | 3447.01 |
A list of the worst 15 Merthyr Town sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Saturday, February 19, 2022 | 2756.16 |
| 2021 | Monday, December 27, 2021 | 2798.50 |
| 2016 | Saturday, January 2, 2016 | 2830.80 |
| 2015 | Saturday, December 26, 2015 | 2838.49 |
| 2010 | Saturday, April 3, 2010 | 2852.47 |
| 2018 | Saturday, April 28, 2018 | 2860.87 |
| 2008 | Saturday, January 26, 2008 | 2867.30 |
| 2019 | Saturday, April 6, 2019 | 2869.85 |
| 2007 | Wednesday, December 26, 2007 | 2874.01 |
| 2023 | Monday, January 2, 2023 | 2876.24 |
| 2017 | Saturday, December 23, 2017 | 2887.26 |
| 2020 | Saturday, February 8, 2020 | 2896.05 |
| 2006 | Saturday, April 1, 2006 | 2909.62 |
| 2004 | Saturday, August 21, 2004 | 2914.41 |
| 2009 | Saturday, April 4, 2009 | 2918.34 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Merthyr Town's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town (3361) vs. Crystal Palace (3674) Saturday, April 19, 1930 |
-183.1 | 25.8% | 5-2 | +26.0 |
| Merthyr Town (3447) vs. Fulham (3706) Saturday, March 2, 1929 |
-130.0 | 32.1% | 4-1 | +23.8 |
| Merthyr Town (3513) vs. Crystal Palace (3761) Saturday, August 28, 1920 |
-131.8 | 31.9% | 2-1 | +13.6 |
| Merthyr Town (3556) vs. Watford (3804) Saturday, October 9, 1920 |
-131.5 | 31.9% | 2-0 | +20.4 |
| Swindon Town (3702) vs. Merthyr Town (3455) Saturday, September 19, 1925 |
-368.7 | 10.7% | 0-2 | +26.8 |
| Merthyr Town (3485) vs. Northampton Town (3730) Monday, September 2, 1929 |
-115.8 | 33.9% | 1-0 | +13.2 |
| Merthyr Town (3533) vs. Millwall (3778) Monday, September 13, 1926 |
-118.7 | 33.5% | 1-0 | +13.3 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (2895) vs. Bath City (3140) Saturday, April 7, 2007 |
-192.2 | 24.9% | 2-1 | +15.0 |
| Merthyr Town (3514) vs. Bristol City (3757) Saturday, April 3, 1926 |
-121.3 | 33.2% | 3-2 | +13.4 |
| Merthyr Town (3507) vs. Millwall (3747) Saturday, March 7, 1925 |
-120.4 | 33.3% | 2-1 | +13.3 |
| Merthyr Town (3369) vs. Luton Town (3602) Saturday, March 8, 1930 |
-103.8 | 35.5% | 3-1 | +19.4 |
| Swindon Town (3735) vs. Merthyr Town (3502) Saturday, February 18, 1928 |
-361.7 | 11.1% | 1-2 | +17.8 |
| Barnet (3547) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (3321) Saturday, March 16, 1991 |
-301.8 | 15.0% | 2-3 | +17.0 |
| Merthyr Town (3540) vs. Brighton and Hove Albion (3756) Saturday, February 19, 1927 |
-90.2 | 37.3% | 1-0 | +12.5 |
| Merthyr Town (2770) vs. Tiverton Town (2981) Tuesday, August 16, 2022 |
-173.4 | 26.9% | 2-0 | +21.9 |
| Merthyr Town (3573) vs. Plymouth Argyle (3783) Saturday, January 5, 1924 |
-93.8 | 36.8% | 1-0 | +12.6 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (3384) vs. Colchester United (3588) Saturday, January 4, 1992 |
-128.3 | 32.3% | 2-0 | +20.3 |
| Merthyr Town (3611) vs. Swindon Town (3809) Monday, March 24, 1913 |
-77.2 | 39.1% | 1-0 | +12.2 |
| Merthyr Town (2911) vs. Truro City (3107) Saturday, March 11, 2023 |
-159.2 | 28.6% | 2-1 | +14.3 |
| Merthyr Town (3488) vs. Northampton Town (3679) Saturday, October 17, 1925 |
-70.0 | 40.1% | 5-3 | +18.0 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Merthyr Town's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea Town (3175) vs. Merthyr Town (3583) Saturday, January 10, 1914 |
+286.5 | 83.9% | 2-0 | -25.2 |
| Leyton (3174) vs. Merthyr Town (3448) Saturday, November 30, 1929 |
+144.9 | 69.7% | 4-1 | -24.4 |
| Cambridge City (2742) vs. Merthyr Town (3005) Saturday, December 3, 2016 |
+227.4 | 78.7% | 1-0 | -15.7 |
| King's Lynn (3137) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (3388) Saturday, November 15, 1958 |
+145.6 | 69.8% | 2-1 | -14.0 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (2995) vs. Northwood (2766) Saturday, December 3, 2005 |
+285.0 | 83.8% | 0-1 | -16.8 |
| Woking (3127) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (3349) Saturday, December 8, 1990 |
+145.7 | 69.8% | 5-1 | -26.2 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (3380) vs. Hendon (3168) Saturday, December 15, 1973 |
+314.7 | 86.0% | 0-3 | -30.1 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (2916) vs. Cheshunt (2716) Monday, March 24, 2008 |
+249.7 | 80.8% | 1-2 | -16.2 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (2937) vs. Chesham United (2773) Saturday, April 1, 2006 |
+219.9 | 78.0% | 1-4 | -27.3 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (3433) vs. Boston United (3289) Saturday, November 7, 1992 |
+217.7 | 77.8% | 0-3 | -27.2 |
| Rugby Town (2867) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (3007) Saturday, November 26, 2005 |
+84.6 | 61.9% | 1-0 | -12.4 |
| Dorchester Town (2837) vs. Merthyr Town (2977) Saturday, January 20, 2024 |
+103.5 | 64.5% | 3-2 | -12.9 |
| Bedford Town (2839) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (2976) Saturday, December 6, 2008 |
+89.0 | 62.5% | 1-0 | -12.5 |
| Merthyr Town (2992) vs. Beaconsfield Town (2856) Saturday, January 13, 2024 |
+172.5 | 73.0% | 2-3 | -14.6 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (2954) vs. Aylesbury United (2818) Saturday, April 29, 2006 |
+192.2 | 75.1% | 2-4 | -22.5 |
| Enfield (3259) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (3394) Monday, April 16, 1990 |
+57.7 | 58.2% | 2-0 | -17.5 |
| Chorley (3273) vs. Merthyr Tydfil (3405) Saturday, April 14, 1990 |
+54.9 | 57.8% | 1-0 | -11.6 |
| Merthyr Town (2948) vs. Yate Town (2818) Monday, April 10, 2023 |
+166.6 | 72.3% | 1-2 | -14.5 |
| Gillingham (3528) vs. Merthyr Town (3656) Saturday, September 24, 1921 |
+14.2 | 52.0% | 5-0 | -20.8 |
| Merthyr Tydfil (2904) vs. Clevedon Town (2778) Tuesday, March 9, 2010 |
+171.0 | 72.8% | 2-3 | -14.6 |
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The twenty teams that Merthyr Town are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Merthyr Town are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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